I Don’t See the GOP Lasting…

The G.O.P. Party will not last—at least not in its current composition.

Of course, this is not news. This is not even noteworthy. All I am really saying is that history is repeating itself.

The Republican Party has been devastated by every major cultural advancement in our nation’s history. From slavery and suffrage, to environmentalism and civil rights, the G.O.P. rarely manages to hold its stuff together when the times around them are changing.

Of course, that is not to say that Democrats haven’t changed over the years, but they certainly haven’t been as direly affected by the cultural shifts as Republicans have. Being tied to liberalism gives the Democrats some advantage in changing with the times and moving on to a much more inclusive future.

However, Republicans are tied to conservatism. By the very definition of the term, they are hesitant to change, they are hesitant to be more inclusive, and they are hesitant to take on the risk of trying to do more for this young, growing and somewhat naïve country. You saw it in the healthcare debate. Republicans wanted to slow things down. And you’re seeing it again now; they want to slow down talks on financial reform and immigration.

That’s not going to go on for too much longer. Say what you will about the G.O.P. standing the test of time, but the clock is about to run out.

Everybody is convinced that the Republicans are about to have this sweeping victory in November’s mid-term elections, but the truth is, as angry as the American populace is with the present government; the Democrats are still going to have majority rule in both houses.

So what does that say about the Republican Party, when their only hope at regaining control in the legislature is for the Democrats to inherit the mess they created? And yet all they can do is chip away at the Democratic majority?

That tells me that even though there will always be a strong opposition to the party in power, the Democrats will remain in charge for quite a while, and at least until a new party, or a newly formed Republican Party is created. Democrats won’t get a pass because they aren’t any better at governing than the Republicans are. In fact, they are worse. However, Democrats are more willing to accept changes to the status quo—even if those changes don’t always makes sense—making them more becoming of the times.

Besides, do you really think that 25 years from now there is going to be room for a party that doesn’t accept gay marriage? Do you think there is going to be room for a party that basically wants to close down our borders in a country set to be a nation made up of more non-whites than whites? And how on Earth will the Republican Party last if they honestly run on the premise of revoking healthcare reform in favor of—in favor of nothing!?

But I’m no fool, and neither are Republicans, which is why when change seems inevitable, they will quietly, slickly and misleadingly cross over to the good side. Unfortunately, crossing over won’t be as easy as it used to be. Not in in this world of 24/7 cable news. You cross over now, and you can kiss reelection good bye. John McCain might learn that really soon.

For all of my fellow fans of “The Office,” the G.O.P. is essentially Dunder Mifflin. They are a paper company in a paperless world, trying to convince everyone that email and workflow software will never replace good, old-fashioned paper. And while the Democrats aren’t exactly the burgeoning, clever-thinking equivalent of Staples, they at least make an effort to sell the American public on something more than paper.

Of course, in juxtaposition to a less than personal email, there is something to be said for a nice, well-written, stationary-based letter from one person to another. The only problem with that is by the time I actually get around to reading such a letter, I’ve probably already read a million other text messages and emails, rendering the message of that letter about as useful as the paper it was written on.

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